RBI announces measures to ease financial
conditions:
In an unscheduled announcement on 5 May 2021, RBI unleashed plethora of
measures to ease the financial conditions and rolled out number of targeted
measures to cushion the economic impact of surge in covid cases. The measures
include:
·
Announcement to
purchase INR 350 billion worth of government securities under G-SAP 1.0
·
On-tap liquidity facility of INR 500 billion
with tenure of 3 years for banks for extending fresh lending support to various
borrowers which have been impacted by the pandemic like healthcare, importer of
vaccines, pathology labs, etc. Further, lending to these sectors upto 31st
March 2022 is allowed to be classified as priority sector lending.
·
Banks are eligible to park their surplus liquidity
up to the size of the COVID-19 loan book with the RBI under the reverse repo
window at a rate which is 25 bps lower than the repo rate.
·
SLTRO for Small Finance Banks (SFBs) under
which facility upto INR 100 billion at repo rate is provided to SFBs for fresh
lending of upto INR 1 million per borrower
·
Allowed restructuring of loans to borrowers
with aggregated exposure of upto INR 250 million who have not availed of
restructuring before and were standard as of 31 March2021 will be eligible for
restructuring till 30 September 2021
Macro-Economic Update:
Surge in
Covid -19 can act as temporary impediment for economic recovery but will not
have major impact on full year cycle. Factors supporting economic recoveries
are:
·
Government
thrust on capex with higher budgetary allocation to capital spending
·
National infrastructure pipeline, steps to
improve access to infrastructure financing, etc. should also aid the revival.
·
With a favourable base effect, FY22 is likely
to witness a good growth rate
·
Improvement
in global economy.
·
Over
the medium term, Indian manufacturing sector could possibly become a
beneficiary of shift of global manufacturing from China to other emerging
markets.
Snapshot on Valuation across sector with
respect to long term average
|
Sector
Valuation/PE* |
Auto |
Consumer
Staples** |
Cement |
IT |
Pharma |
Private
Bank P/B |
PSU Bank
|
|
Valuation
Multiple |
21.1 |
53.1 |
31 |
24.7 |
27 |
2.6 |
0.9 |
|
10 Y
Average Valuation |
16.4 |
40.9 |
22.9 |
17.8 |
22.6 |
2.5 |
1.1 |
|
Premium/
Discount |
28.7 |
29.8 |
35.4 |
38.6 |
19.8 |
1.8 |
-17.2 |
|
* as on
30 April 2021 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
**ex
Tobaco |
Source
Kotak Equity
